MBS Day Ahead: Every NFP Week is Important Until Fed Hike (or Lack Thereof)

MBS Day Ahead: Every NFP Week is Important Until Fed Hike (or Lack Thereof)

We expect the Federal Reserve to hike the Federal Funds rate target range by 25 bps to 1.00%-1.25% at its meeting this week. The recent cooling of inflation in the US is fuelling concerns on the future trajectory of rate hikes. Monetary tightening going ahead is likely to be contingent upon a pickup in inflation.

StreetStuff Daily October 25, 2017 BECAUSE: The way to get good ideas is to go through LOTS of ideas, and throw out the bad ones. Figure 4 shows that OTR 5s are trading in line with a typical cycle (for non-deferred versus deferred CTD).

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You’re about 5-14 days AHEAD of what the market is going to do. It’s taken me a long time to realize this, but boy it’s been profitable. I go in when you recommend something at about 25% allocation, and then add to it each day it "goes the wrong way" Then BOOM, one day it’s all good..

In terms of the underlying financial markets that drive rates, the first two days of this week. important events including the ADP Employment report in the morning (occasionally treated as a.

In and of itself, today’s trading session wasn’t anything special. There wasn’t much by way of economic data (just Chicago PMI, which fell on deaf ears) or scheduled events (several Fed speakers, but no market moving comments). Rather, bond traders were left to simply put in any remaining month-end trades and then hit cruise control.

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Best Execution mortgage rates have moved into a holding pattern ahead. hold until after next week’s FOMC Announcement (Fed meeting) as past precedent suggests that bond markets may fear the Fed.

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Back in 2015–almost exactly a year ago, actually–the order of the day was determining the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike since the financial crisis. By late October, we knew the hike was.

Federal Reserve will not see rate hikes during 2019 MBS Day Ahead: Every NFP Week is Important Until Fed Hike (or. – MBS Day Ahead: Every NFP Week is Important Until Fed Hike (or Lack Thereof) Back in 2015-almost exactly a year ago, actually-the order of the day was determining the timing of the Fed’s first rate hike since the financial crisis.

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